Working In Domains of High Uncertainty
X: When will you be done with the project?
Me: This work has never been done before, so I don’t know.
X: But the Leadership Team just asked me when the project will be done. So, what should I say?
Me: Since nothing has changed since the last time you asked me, I still don’t know. Tell them I don’t know.
X: They won’t like that answer.
Me: They may not like the answer, but it’s the truth. And I like telling the truth.
X: Well, what are the steps you’ll take to complete the project?
Me: All I can tell you is what we’re trying to learn right now.
X: So all you can tell me is the work you’re doing right now?
Me: Yes.
X: It seems like you don’t know what you’re doing.
Me: I know what we’re doing right now.
X: But you don’t know what’s next?
Me: How could I? If this current experiment goes up in smoke, the next thing we’ll do is start a different project. And if the experiment works, we’ll do the next right thing.
X: So the project could end tomorrow?
Me: That’s right.
X: Or it could go on for a long time?
Me: That’s right too.
X: Are you always like this?
Me: Yes, I am always truthful.
X: I don’t like your answers. Maybe we should find someone else to run the project.
Me: That’s up to you. But if the new person tells you they know when the project will be done, they’re the wrong person to run the project. Any date they give you will be a guess. And I would not want to be the one to deliver a date like that to the Leadership Team.
X: We planned for the project to be done by the end of the year with incremental revenue starting in the first quarter of next year.
Me: Well, the project work is not bound by the revenue plan. It’s the other way around.
X: So, you don’t care about the profitability of the company?
Me: Of course I care. That’s why we chose this project – to provide novel customer value and sell more products.
X: So the project is intended to deliver new value to our customers?
Me: Yes, that’s how the project was justified. We started with an important problem that, if solved, would make them more profitable.
X: So you’re not just playing around in the lab.
Me: No, we’re trying to solve a customer problem as fast as we can. It only looks like we’re playing around.
X: If it works, would our company be more profitable?
Me: Absolutely.
X: Well, how can I help?
Me: Please meet with the Leadership Team and thank them for trusting us with this important project. And tell them we’re working as fast as we can.
Image credit – Florida Fish and Wildlife
X: Me: format stolen from Simon Wardley (@swardley). Thank you, Simon.